Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 92 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 634k–1.4M
best case 2.1M (Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc)
Games like Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim

A typical game among these

≈ 634k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.2M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Visual Novel, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut		 $1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut		 $9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Senren＊Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 923k–1.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut		 $34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelNSFW
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut		 $4.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut		 $39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut		 $11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut		 $19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut		 $19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.