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How many copies did Die Young sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 55k–89k
$151k–$406k after Steam's cut $274k–$624k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Die Young and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Die Young's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–7.7M
best case 31.8M (Dying Light)
Games like Die Young

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–7.7M copies

≈ $23.5M–$137.2M after Steam's cut

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 47k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 77k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Parkour (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Titanfall® 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$58.7M–$158.0M after Steam's cut $106.8M–$243.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
287k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSMechs
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Shadow Warrior 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.7M–$26.1M after Steam's cut $17.6M–$40.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGore
Crab Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
151k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive

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