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How many copies did Shadow Warrior 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$9.7M–$26.1M after Steam's cut $17.6M–$40.1M before Steam's cut
from 28k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadow Warrior 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Warrior 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)
Games like Shadow Warrior 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $12.7M–$36.4M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Looter Shooter + FPS, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry PvE + Class-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

REMNANT II®
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut
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69k reviews
Very Positive
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
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RPGLooter Shooter
OUTRIDERS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Mixed
Looter ShooterRPG
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Borderlands Game of the Year
2023
Est. copies
≈ 791k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterFPS
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
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HorrorTeam-Based
Deadside
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.1M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.