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How many copies did Nancy Drew®: Warnings at Waverly Academy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$92k–$247k after Steam's cut $167k–$380k before Steam's cut
from 353 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nancy Drew®: Warnings at Waverly Academy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nancy Drew®: Warnings at Waverly Academy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–61k
best case 248k (Contraband Police: Prologue)
Games like Nancy Drew®: Warnings at Waverly Academy

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–61k copies

≈ $265k–$366k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Contraband Police: Prologue at ≈ 189k–307k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 221 reviews in their first month; the range was 100 to 573.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Hidden Object, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Action + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

IMMORTALITY
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$274k–$736k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectChoose Your Own Adventure
True Fear: Forsaken Souls Part 1
2016
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$533k before Steam's cut
$8.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationHidden Object
Contraband Police: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction
Agatha Christie - Hercule Poirot: The First Cases
2021
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$197k–$529k after Steam's cut $358k–$814k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Tiny Room Stories: Town Mystery
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$245k before Steam's cut
$9.99
871 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
The House of Da Vinci 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$189k–$509k after Steam's cut $344k–$783k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Agent A: A puzzle in disguise
2019
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$992k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPoint & Click
Nancy Drew®: Midnight in Salem
2019
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$199k–$535k after Steam's cut $362k–$823k before Steam's cut
$21.99
1k reviews
Mixed
AdventureMystery

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