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How many copies did Agent A: A puzzle in disguise sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 180k–293k
$992k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Agent A: A puzzle in disguise and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agent A: A puzzle in disguise's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.7M
best case 1.7M (Besiege)
Games like Agent A: A puzzle in disguise

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.7M copies

≈ $6.2M–$11.1M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Besiege at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 31k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Sandbox, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
Candy gun
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Rope Bowling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualPhysics
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Bomb Bowling
2019
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
31 reviews
Positive
IndiePuzzle
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Bomb Bowling 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 346–562
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$475–$1k after Steam's cut $863–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
PuzzlePhysics

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