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How many copies did STRAFE: Gold Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 85k–137k
$349k–$937k after Steam's cut $634k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STRAFE: Gold Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STRAFE: Gold Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 983k–1.1M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like STRAFE: Gold Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 983k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.9M–$8.1M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-lite + FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Back 4 Blood
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.8M after Steam's cut $54.6M–$124.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesOnline Co-Op

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.