How much revenue did Grand Pigeon's Duty make?

$28k–$74k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Grand Pigeon's Duty sell?

Q: How many copies did Grand Pigeon's Duty sell?

25k to 41k copies, based on its 607 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–41k; $28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$115k before Steam's cut; from 607 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grand Pigeon's Duty and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grand Pigeon's Duty's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–89k

best case 541k (Pixel Piracy)

Games like Grand Pigeon's Duty

A typical game among these

≈ 56k–89k copies

≈ $418k–$758k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Pixel Piracy at ≈ 412k–669k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 470 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8) and Side Scroller (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Sandbox, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Action Roguelike + Pirates + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mining Mechs 2023	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut	$2.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Co-opOnline Co-Op
100 hidden eternals 2020	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$0.99	689 reviews Very Positive	CasualHidden Object
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed 2024	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Very Positive	3D PlatformerAction-Adventure
Durka Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 42k–68k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	ConversationSingleplayer
Niffelheim 2018	Est. copies ≈ 71k–115k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $710k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	MythologyCo-op
OXENFREE II: Lost Signals 2023	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ThrillerSupernatural
Mayhem Brawler 2021	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $123k–$330k after Steam's cut $223k–$508k before Steam's cut	$19.99	900 reviews Very Positive	ActionBeat 'em up
Pixel Piracy 2014	Est. copies ≈ 412k–669k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeSandbox