How much revenue did Citadel: Forged with Fire make?

$700k–$1.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Citadel: Forged with Fire sell?

Q: How many copies did Citadel: Forged with Fire sell?

170k to 276k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 170k–276k; $700k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Citadel: Forged with Fire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Citadel: Forged with Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–8.4M

best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like Citadel: Forged with Fire

A typical game among these

≈ 5.3M–8.4M copies

≈ $61.7M–$122.6M after Steam's cut

from ~148k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Building (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
New World: Aeternum 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	297k reviews Mixed	Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
Robocraft 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	117k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayRobots
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
Conan Exiles Enhanced 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.3M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.5M–$162.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Elder Scrolls® Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	162k reviews Very Positive	RPGMMORPG
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
Insurgency: Sandstorm 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	133k reviews Very Positive	FPSRealistic