How much revenue did MADNESS: Project Nexus make?

$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MADNESS: Project Nexus sell?

Q: How many copies did MADNESS: Project Nexus sell?

437k to 710k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 437k–710k; $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MADNESS: Project Nexus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MADNESS: Project Nexus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.6M–10.8M

best case 31.8M (Dying Light)

Games like MADNESS: Project Nexus

A typical game among these

≈ 6.6M–10.8M copies

≈ $74.9M–$306.9M after Steam's cut

from ~205k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 47k reviews in their first month; the range was 33k to 128k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Third Person (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10.3M–16.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	357k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Souls-likeDifficult
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	205k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Lost Ark 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGFree to Play
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Devil May Cry 5 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.9M–8.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	171k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionHack and Slash
God of War 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	185k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionSingleplayer