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How many copies did Control Craft 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
from 339 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Control Craft 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Control Craft 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–35k
best case 374k (Reventure)
Games like Control Craft 3

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–35k copies

≈ $7k–$228k after Steam's cut

from ~157 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Reventure at ≈ 285k–463k copies, ≈ $966k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 339.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Multiple Endings + Comedy, priced around $12.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Guardian of Lore
2021
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$13.99
35 reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationMetroidvania
Earth Analog
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$19.99
113 reviews
Mixed
SpaceExploration
Soul Reaper
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$19.99
30 reviews
Mixed
Creature CollectorLoot
Alluris
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$9.99
172 reviews
Very Positive
CasualRPG
Other Worlds India
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
141 reviews
Mixed
Choose Your Own AdventureMetroidvania
Toki Tori 2+
2013
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$288k–$774k after Steam's cut $523k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerChoose Your Own Adventure
Reventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 285k–463k
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$966k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$12.34
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Super Dungeon Maker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$19.99
504 reviews
Very Positive
ColorfulChoose Your Own Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.