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How many copies did Toki Tori 2+ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–113k
$288k–$774k after Steam's cut $523k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toki Tori 2+ and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Toki Tori 2+'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–4.9M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Toki Tori 2+

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–4.9M copies

≈ $12.0M–$34.1M after Steam's cut

from ~96k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 11.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (4 of 7) and Platformer (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Reventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 285k–463k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$966k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$12.34
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Million to One Hero
2019
Est. copies
≈ 922–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerChoose Your Own Adventure
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Billy Saves the World
2024
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$655–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$7.99
12 reviews
Positive
Story RichAction RPG
Lihue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$10.00
15 reviews
Positive
AdventureLGBTQ+
Why pizza?
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$18.99
13 reviews
Mixed
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.