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How many copies did Lihue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lihue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lihue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–52k
best case 907k (Garfield Kart)
Games like Lihue

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–52k copies

≈ $136k–$404k after Steam's cut

from ~718 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Psychedelic (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garfield Kart at ≈ 691k–1.1M copies, ≈ $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 216 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 762.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychedelic (3 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cult Classic + Combat Racing, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Cult Classic + Combat Racing + Competitive; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Paw Patrol: On A Roll!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$120k–$322k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut
$29.99
477 reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyPlatformer
MY LITTLE PONY: A Maretime Bay Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
914 reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
VEGAS Pro 14 Edit Steam Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Video ProductionSoftware
The Endless Empty
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$3.99
320 reviews
Very Positive
RPGIndie
Mediterranea Inferno
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$59k–$157k after Steam's cut $107k–$242k before Steam's cut
$14.99
573 reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Choose Your Own Adventure
Great God Grove
2024
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$214k–$574k after Steam's cut $388k–$884k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Disney Princess: Enchanted Journey
2014
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$221k–$594k after Steam's cut $402k–$914k before Steam's cut
$19.99
718 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFemale Protagonist

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