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How many copies did Billy Saves the World sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$655–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Billy Saves the World and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Billy Saves the World's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 195k–434k
best case 709k (Blasphemous 2)
Games like Billy Saves the World

A typical game among these

≈ 195k–434k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Blasphemous 2 at ≈ 540k–878k copies, ≈ $6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Side Scroller (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Combat + Fantasy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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