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How many copies did Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149k–241k
$408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $742k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–46k
best case 154k (GOAT OF DUTY)
Games like Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–46k copies

≈ $32k–$286k after Steam's cut

from ~234 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GOAT OF DUTY at ≈ 117k–190k copies, ≈ $322k–$865k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 122 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 276.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (5 of 8) and Dark Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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11x vs typical
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Early AccessStory Rich
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Beat 'em upTower Defense
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PhysicsVillain Protagonist
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17x vs typical
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FPSDark Comedy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.