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How many copies did The Baby In Yellow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 63k–102k
$155k–$417k after Steam's cut $282k–$641k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Baby In Yellow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Baby In Yellow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–6.8M
best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like The Baby In Yellow

A typical game among these

≈ 3.8M–6.8M copies

≈ $40.9M–$67.3M after Steam's cut

from ~152k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Open World + Survival Horror + Cyberpunk; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 76
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
141k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Subnautica: Below Zero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.7M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
109k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer

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