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How many copies did Along the Edge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–74k
$175k–$471k after Steam's cut $318k–$724k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Along the Edge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Along the Edge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.0M
best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)
Games like Along the Edge

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.0M copies

≈ $6.0M–$12.3M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry 3D + Match 3 + Interactive Fiction; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings

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