How many copies did The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition sell?

48k to 78k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Q: How much revenue did The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition make?

$262k–$705k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 48k–78k; $262k–$705k after Steam's cut $477k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–864k

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–864k copies

≈ $2.4M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 9k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Deckbuilding (8 of 8) and Card Battler (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Roguelike Deckbuilder + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadowverse CCG 2016	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Battler
Griftlands 2021	Est. copies ≈ 359k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Artifact 2018	Est. copies ≈ 753k–1.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	25k reviews Mixed	Card BattlerDeckbuilding
Wildfrost 2023	Est. copies ≈ 220k–357k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerDifficult
Dicey Dungeons 2019	Est. copies ≈ 343k–558k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
月圆之夜 (Night of Full Moon) 2019	Est. copies ≈ 317k–516k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Card GameFree to Play