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How many copies did Tribocalypse VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 378–615
$727–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tribocalypse VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tribocalypse VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 212–456
best case 21k (Elven Assassin)
Games like Tribocalypse VR

A typical game among these

≈ 212–456 copies

≈ $707–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Elven Assassin at ≈ 16k–26k copies, ≈ $89k–$240k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 573 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Archery (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Adventure + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Battle Bows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$19.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ActionVR
ToVer Defense
2020
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10 reviews
Positive
StrategyAction
Elven Assassin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
73x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$89k–$240k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut
$19.99
656 reviews
Very Positive
ActionVR
Uphold The Realm
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$857–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$6.99
18 reviews
Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Queendoom
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
25 reviews
Positive
ActionIndie
Tiny Archers VR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$19.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ActionVR
Mythic Defender
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$239–$640 after Steam's cut $434–$985 before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Another Reigny Day
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.