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How many copies did Siege of Centauri sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$54k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut
from 451 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Siege of Centauri and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Siege of Centauri's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–77k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Siege of Centauri

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–77k copies

≈ $139k–$303k after Steam's cut

from ~981 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 331 reviews in their first month; the range was 103 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Real Time Tactics (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics. The breakout hits carry Trading Card Game + Stylized + Turn-Based Tactics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
67x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Out of Ammo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$84k–$226k after Steam's cut $153k–$347k before Steam's cut
$9.99
735 reviews
Very Positive
Toy Shire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$50k–$135k after Steam's cut $92k–$208k before Steam's cut
$9.99
739 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTower Defense
Infinitode 2 - Infinite Tower Defense
2021
Est. copies
≈ 105k–171k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Level EditorTower Defense
Vectorio Classic
2021
Est. copies
≈ 37k–59k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingTower Defense
Axon TD: Uprising - Tower Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$451k before Steam's cut
$19.99
799 reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseReal Time Tactics
War Planet Online: Global Conquest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
981 reviews
Mixed
StrategyMassively Multiplayer
Element TD 2 - Tower Defense
2021
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$331k–$889k after Steam's cut $601k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseReal Time Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.