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How many copies did 3D Chess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 175 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 3D Chess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 3D Chess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 979–2k
best case 105k (Chess Ultra)
Games like 3D Chess

A typical game among these

≈ 979–2k copies

≈ $834–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~35 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Chess Ultra at ≈ 80k–130k copies, ≈ $285k–$766k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 20.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tabletop (8 of 8) and Board Game (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Indie + Board Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Samurai Chess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$543–$1k after Steam's cut $987–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
40 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessPuzzle
The Chess Variants Club
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
Chess Ultra
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
67x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyChess
Hi Poker 3D:Texas Holdem
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Mixed
SportsCasual
Pixel Puzzles Illustrations & Anime Jigsaw Puzzles
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
302 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
Wild Wild Chess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$393–$1k after Steam's cut $715–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
29 reviews
Mostly Positive
Casino Slot Machines
2017
Est. copies
≈ 826–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$452–$1k after Steam's cut $822–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
24 reviews
Mixed
SolitaireIdler
Roxy Raccoon's Pinball Panic
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
66 reviews
Very Positive
PinballSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.