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How many copies did Inner Chains sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$115k–$309k after Steam's cut $209k–$476k before Steam's cut
from 608 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Inner Chains and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Inner Chains's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–4.0M
best case 5.0M (Resident Evil Village)
Games like Inner Chains

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–4.0M copies

≈ $13.3M–$50.2M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Resident Evil Village at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (3 of 3) and Survival Horror (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival Horror + Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Inside the Backrooms
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$6.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.