How much revenue did The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel make?

$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel sell?

Q: How many copies did The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel sell?

204k to 332k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 204k–332k; $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–5.8M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel

A typical game among these

≈ 4.4M–5.8M copies

≈ $85.1M–$106.9M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 20k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 6) and JRPG (3 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Yakuza 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAction
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	154k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
MONSTER HUNTER RISE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	127k reviews Very Positive	ActionHunting