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How many copies did Kombine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 152 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kombine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kombine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–15k
best case 51k (Chains)
Games like Kombine

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–15k copies

≈ $14k–$61k after Steam's cut

from ~235 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Chains at ≈ 39k–63k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 60.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Chains
2009
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
610 reviews
Mostly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Dissembler
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$4.99
120 reviews
Very Positive
IndieLogic
Puzzle - LINES AND KNOTS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before Steam's cut
$9.99
261 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Minesweeper: Collector
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$7.99
139 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Sagrada
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut
$9.99
443 reviews
Very Positive
Board GameTabletop
Purino Party
2016
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before Steam's cut
$11.99
276 reviews
Mixed
PuzzleMatch 3
Puzzle - STONE BLOCKS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
$10.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleLogic
Gems of the Aztecs
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$148k before Steam's cut
$14.99
208 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualMatch 3

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.