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How many copies did Dead Rising 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 290k–472k
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Rising 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Rising 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–11.7M
best case 40.1M (Project Zomboid)
Games like Dead Rising 4

A typical game among these

≈ 7.8M–11.7M copies

≈ $144.2M–$257.1M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Project Zomboid at ≈ 30.5M–49.6M copies, ≈ $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $37. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Survival + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Saints Row: The Third
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldAction
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
No More Room in Hell
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.9M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayZombies
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer

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