How much revenue did Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! make?

$8k–$21k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! sell?

Q: How many copies did Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 138 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut; from 138 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xmas Shooting - Scramble!!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–50k

best case 361k (DEEP SPACE WAIFU)

Games like Xmas Shooting - Scramble!!

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–50k copies

≈ $13k–$100k after Steam's cut

from ~419 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DEEP SPACE WAIFU at ≈ 275k–446k copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 1k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Project Beril / 贝丽尔养成计划 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut	$9.99	86 reviews Very Positive	IndieShoot 'Em Up
WITCH-BOT MEGLILO 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$5.99	123 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
QP Shooting - Dangerous!! 2014	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before Steam's cut	$7.99	517 reviews Very Positive	Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Mirage Feathers 2024	Est. copies ≈ 66k–107k 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $91k–$243k after Steam's cut $165k–$374k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeCute
Dimension Tripper Neptune: TOP NEP 2022	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut	$4.99	741 reviews Very Positive	ActionArcade
DEEP SPACE WAIFU 2017	Est. copies ≈ 275k–446k 19x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
ETHER VAPOR Remaster 2012	Est. copies ≈ 20k–33k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$184k before Steam's cut	$7.99	320 reviews Mostly Positive	Shoot 'Em UpAction
Hell Blasters 2021	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$7.99	26 reviews Positive	Bullet HellAnime