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How many copies did Psycho on the loose sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
from 92 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Psycho on the loose and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Psycho on the loose's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.4M–11.2M
best case 10.4M (Schedule I)
Games like Psycho on the loose

A typical game among these

≈ 7.4M–11.2M copies

≈ $96.9M–$173.8M after Steam's cut

from ~205k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Schedule I at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies, ≈ $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the range was 68k to 153k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Co-op, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1998 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
Half-Life
1998
Est. copies
≈ 10.4M–16.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
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FPSClassic
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Schedule I
2025
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≈ 7.9M–12.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
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≈ 5.1M–8.2M
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$39.99
176k reviews
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Action-AdventureSouls-like
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Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
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≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
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Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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