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How many copies did Kalaban sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
from 97 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kalaban and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kalaban's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–14k
best case 115k (Class of '09: The Flip Side)
Games like Kalaban

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–14k copies

≈ $20k–$93k after Steam's cut

from ~250 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Class of '09: The Flip Side at ≈ 87k–142k copies, ≈ $240k–$646k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8) and Dark Comedy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Visual Novel, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Overboard!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$287k before Steam's cut
$14.99
678 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureInteractive Fiction
Class of '09: The Flip Side
2024
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$240k–$646k after Steam's cut $437k–$994k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ComedyVisual Novel
1f y0u're a gh0st ca11 me here! 幽铃热线
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Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
$6.99
165 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFemale Protagonist
Whateverland: Prologue
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Free
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IndieAdventure
GrandMa Badass - a crazy point and click adventure
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Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
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Point & ClickAdventure
7Days Origins
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$8.99
355 reviews
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Henchman Story
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
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FunnyVisual Novel
Fledgling Manor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$11.75
169 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelVampire

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.