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How many copies did GrandMa Badass - a crazy point and click adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 57 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GrandMa Badass - a crazy point and click adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GrandMa Badass - a crazy point and click adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 461k–663k
best case 1.3M (Unheard - Voices of Crime)
Games like GrandMa Badass - a crazy point and click adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 461k–663k copies

≈ $3.4M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unheard - Voices of Crime at ≈ 981k–1.6M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry RPG + Simulation + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 604k–982k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDetective
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 312k–507k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFree to Play
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Escape Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 482k–783k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Enigma of Fear
2024
Est. copies
≈ 257k–417k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle

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