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How many copies did Enigma of Fear sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 257k–417k
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Enigma of Fear and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Enigma of Fear's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 111k–185k
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Enigma of Fear

A typical game among these

≈ 111k–185k copies

≈ $771k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 23 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Detective (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Co-op + VR + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
241x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Ghost Exorcism INC.
2021
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$11.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication
2024
Est. copies
≈ 83k–134k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryStory Rich
At Dead Of Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$15.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
The Painscreek Killings
2017
Est. copies
≈ 221k–358k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationMystery
Sherlock Holmes The Awakened
2023
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$823k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveLovecraftian
Tails Noir
2021
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$595k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mixed
DetectivePixel Graphics
Detective Grimoire
2014
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$759k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPoint & Click

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