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How many copies did At Dead Of Night sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 89k–145k
$391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid At Dead Of Night and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including At Dead Of Night's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 409k–2.3M
best case 5.3M (Content Warning)
Games like At Dead Of Night

A typical game among these

≈ 409k–2.3M copies

≈ $3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Content Warning at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Survival Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $8.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Five Nights at Freddy's
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSingleplayer
Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
BIGFOOT
2017
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessHorror
Choo-Choo Charles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446k–726k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope
2020
Est. copies
≈ 268k–436k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiple Endings
The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 274k–445k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterHorror
Lunch Lady
2021
Est. copies
≈ 324k–527k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op

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