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How many copies did The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 274k–445k
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 477k–620k
best case 4.2M (Deceit)
Games like The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes

A typical game among these

≈ 477k–620k copies

≈ $1.7M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deceit at ≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Social Deduction. The breakout hits carry PvP + Social Deduction + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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