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How many copies did The Quarry sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 627k–1.0M
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Quarry and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Quarry's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.7M
best case 22.0M (Undertale)
Games like The Quarry

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.7M copies

≈ $9.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 72k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (5 of 8) and Multiple Endings (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry RPG + Open World + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 923k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Beholder
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$13.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Choices Matter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.