How much revenue did The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan make?

$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan sell?

Q: How many copies did The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan sell?

402k to 654k copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 402k–654k; $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut; from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 407k–2.1M

best case 7.2M (Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition)

Games like The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan

A typical game among these

≈ 407k–2.1M copies

≈ $1.8M–$16.6M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 166 to 72k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Co-op, priced around $60.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Quarry 2022	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$69.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterMultiple Endings
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Lunch Lady 2021	Est. copies ≈ 324k–527k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	13k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope 2020	Est. copies ≈ 268k–436k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiple Endings
Deceit 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	92k reviews Mostly Positive	PvPMultiplayer
Beyond: Two Souls 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	AdventureChoices Matter
Choo-Choo Charles 2022	Est. copies ≈ 446k–726k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Ghost Exile 2022	Est. copies ≈ 116k–188k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $477k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $867k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op