How much revenue did Tails Noir make?

$595k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tails Noir sell?

Q: How many copies did Tails Noir sell?

87k to 141k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 87k–141k; $595k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tails Noir and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tails Noir's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–216k

best case 655k (The Test)

Games like Tails Noir

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–216k copies

≈ $291k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test at ≈ 499k–810k copies, ≈ $273k–$734k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 448 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Psychological + Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kathy Rain 2016	Est. copies ≈ 167k–271k SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $833k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickAdventure
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection 2024	Est. copies ≈ 121k–196k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureInvestigation
Roadwarden 2022	Est. copies ≈ 129k–210k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $709k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$10.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RPGText-Based
Urban Myth Dissolution Center 2025	Est. copies ≈ 157k–256k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
No Case Should Remain Unsolved 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionPuzzle
The Deed 2015	Est. copies ≈ 185k–300k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before Steam's cut	$0.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RPGMakerAdventure
The Test: Hypothesis Rising 2020	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut	$1.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationMultiple Endings