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How many copies did Urban Myth Dissolution Center sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 157k–256k
$779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Urban Myth Dissolution Center and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Urban Myth Dissolution Center's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–5.0M
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like Urban Myth Dissolution Center

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–5.0M copies

≈ $12.3M–$30.4M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
The Walking Dead
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesStory Rich

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