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How many copies did Okami HD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 370k–601k
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Okami HD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Okami HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–2.8M
best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)
Games like Okami HD

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–2.8M copies

≈ $14.2M–$32.5M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Action RPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
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Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Est. copies
≈ 477k–775k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
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Titan Quest Anniversary Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.4M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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Age of Mythology: Extended Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.1M after Steam's cut $30.5M–$69.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
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