How much revenue did Kindergarten make?

$503k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kindergarten sell?

Q: How many copies did Kindergarten sell?

367k to 596k copies, based on its 11k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 367k–596k; $503k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $915k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 11k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kindergarten and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kindergarten's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 878k–1.1M

best case 11.5M (POSTAL 2)

Games like Kindergarten

A typical game among these

≈ 878k–1.1M copies

≈ $6.2M–$13.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Gore (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: POSTAL 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 18k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Gore (4 of 8) and Violent (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Violent + Dark Humor, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Funny + Sandbox + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Maneater 2021	Est. copies ≈ 669k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldDark Humor
POSTAL 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.7M–14.2M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	138k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ViolentDark Humor
High On Life 2022	Est. copies ≈ 640k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	26k reviews Very Positive	ComedyFPS
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! 2021	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge 2009	Est. copies ≈ 937k–1.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $513k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $932k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Cult ClassicPhysics
Hatred 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut	$5.99	30k reviews Very Positive	GoreViolent
Party Hard 2015	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStealth
Borderlands Game of the Year Enhanced 2023	Est. copies ≈ 693k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.4M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	FPS Co-op