How much revenue did Fences 3 make?

Fences 3 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Fences 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Fences 3 sell?

29k to 47k copies, based on its 833 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 29k–47k; from 833 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fences 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fences 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 577k–1.1M

best case 4.7M (Soundpad)

Games like Fences 3

A typical game among these

≈ 577k–1.1M copies

≈ $4.7M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Software (8 of 8) and Utilities (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Music + NSFW + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
3DMark unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 520k–845k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Very Positive	BenchmarkUtilities
Easy™ eSports 2015	Est. copies ≈ 465k–756k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	UtilitiesFree to Play
CPUCores :: Maximize Your FPS 2015	Est. copies ≈ 557k–905k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$16.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	UtilitiesSoftware
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 9.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
ShareX 2015	Est. copies ≈ 415k–674k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Photo EditingUtilities
Driver Booster for Steam 2018	Est. copies ≈ 327k–532k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	UtilitiesSoftware
Aseprite 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsDesign & Illustration
Lossless Scaling 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut	$6.99	39k reviews Very Positive	UtilitiesSoftware