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How many copies did Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 265k–431k
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.0M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.0M copies

≈ $14.8M–$27.3M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Female Protagonist, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yakuza: Like a Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Tales of ARISE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 613k–995k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCharacter Customization
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
FINAL FANTASY XV WINDOWS EDITION
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$17.0M–$45.8M after Steam's cut $31.0M–$70.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 986k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG

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