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How many copies did Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
$18.8M–$50.5M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.7M before Steam's cut
from 50k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 576k–2.3M
best case 12.1M (BioShock Infinite)
Games like Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus

A typical game among these

≈ 576k–2.3M copies

≈ $3.9M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BioShock Infinite at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $76.0M–$204.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Return to Castle Wolfenstein
2007
Est. copies
≈ 591k–960k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$811k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Wolfenstein: The Old Blood
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Homefront
2011
Est. copies
≈ 850k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS
BioShock Infinite
2013
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$76.0M–$204.4M after Steam's cut $138.2M–$314.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Very Positive
Singularity™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 377k–612k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
HROT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 162k–263k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RetroFPS
Wolfenstein: Youngblood
2019
Est. copies
≈ 460k–747k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
Wolfenstein: The New Order
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.7M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction

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