How much revenue did HROT make?

$891k–$2.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did HROT sell?

Q: How many copies did HROT sell?

162k to 263k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 162k–263k; $891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HROT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HROT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 867k–2.3M

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like HROT

A typical game among these

≈ 867k–2.3M copies

≈ $6.3M–$7.9M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Blood + Character Action Game + Arena Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 1998 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Roboquest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 608k–989k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Sven Co-op 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	Co-op FPS
Half-Life 1998	Est. copies ≈ 10.4M–16.9M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	164k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
DOOM + DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$20.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Cruelty Squad 2021	Est. copies ≈ 621k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CapitalismSurreal
Half-Life: Opposing Force 1999	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction