How much revenue did Fate/EXTELLA LINK make?

$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fate/EXTELLA LINK sell?

Q: How many copies did Fate/EXTELLA LINK sell?

137k to 222k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 137k–222k; $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fate/EXTELLA LINK and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fate/EXTELLA LINK's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 99k–208k

best case 700k (One Piece Pirate Warriors 3)

Games like Fate/EXTELLA LINK

A typical game among these

≈ 99k–208k copies

≈ $1.1M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: One Piece Pirate Warriors 3 at ≈ 534k–867k copies, ≈ $5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hack and Slash (8 of 8) and Anime (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + Pirates, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
One Piece Pirate Warriors 3 2015	Est. copies ≈ 534k–867k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	AnimeAction
WARRIORS OROCHI 4 2018	Est. copies ≈ 171k–277k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	6k reviews Very Positive	ActionHack and Slash
DYNASTY WARRIORS 8 Empires 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–133k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	2k reviews Mixed	ActionCharacter Customization
Hyperdimension Neptunia U: Action Unleashed 2016	Est. copies ≈ 126k–204k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $517k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $941k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeFemale Protagonist
BERSERK and the Band of the Hawk 2017	Est. copies ≈ 145k–235k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction
Fate/EXTELLA 2017	Est. copies ≈ 154k–251k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction
DYNASTY WARRIORS 7: Xtreme Legends Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $306k–$824k after Steam's cut $557k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionMusou
SAMURAI WARRIORS 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 39k–63k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $644k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionMusou