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How big is Road Dogs?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 5k–8k
from 147 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Road Dogs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Road Dogs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.9M–16.4M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Road Dogs

A typical game among these

≈ 4.9M–16.4M copies

≈ $99.2M–$212.7M after Steam's cut

from ~228k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Driving (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
Need for Speed™ Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.2M after Steam's cut $134.0M–$304.9M before Steam's cut
$69.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

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