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How big is XERA: Survival?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 197k–320k
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid XERA: Survival and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including XERA: Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.3M–15.2M
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like XERA: Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 12.3M–15.2M copies

≈ $140.7M–$185.3M after Steam's cut

from ~381k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 256k reviews in their first month; the range was 182k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 5) and Base-Building (4 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
3 of the 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
381k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.