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How many copies did Dark and Bright sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 413–671
$453–$1k after Steam's cut $824–$2k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark and Bright and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark and Bright's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–220k
best case 958k (Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty)
Games like Dark and Bright

A typical game among these

≈ 110k–220k copies

≈ $758k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty at ≈ 730k–1.2M copies, ≈ $8.0M–$21.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 620 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (5 of 8) and Historical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Action RPG, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Difficult + Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Way of the Samurai 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$702k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionJRPG
Lost Eidolons
2022
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$575k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Mixed
JRPGWar
Hylics
2015
Est. copies
≈ 446k–724k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$366k–$985k after Steam's cut $666k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurrealIndie
Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty
2023
Est. copies
≈ 730k–1.2M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.6M after Steam's cut $14.6M–$33.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Mixed
ActionSouls-like
Fate/Samurai Remnant
2023
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Felvidek
2024
Est. copies
≈ 151k–245k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$456k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $828k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$10.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGMedieval
Like a Dragon: Ishin!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 160k–260k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Gate of Firmament
2016
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$268k–$719k after Steam's cut $486k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive

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