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How many copies did Brigand: Oaxaca sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
from 617 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Brigand: Oaxaca and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brigand: Oaxaca's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–16k
best case 10.5M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like Brigand: Oaxaca

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–16k copies

≈ $9k–$133k after Steam's cut

from ~240 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 116 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Co-op + Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
1338x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
迷离诡夜 blurred weird night
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$7.99
347 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFunny
消失的航班,还有她她她!Lost in the secret!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$89k–$239k after Steam's cut $162k–$368k before Steam's cut
$19.99
653 reviews
Very Positive
RPGMystery
Mechajammer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$12.99
240 reviews
Mixed
Sci-fiTactical
小夜怪奇物语
2023
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before Steam's cut
$2.99
10 reviews
Positive
AdventureInteractive Fiction
Pathologic 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 352k–572k
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
告死天使复仇之夜 Death Angel Nightmare
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$421–$1k after Steam's cut $765–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
31 reviews
Positive
AdventureRPG
First Session
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
89 reviews
Very Positive

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