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How big is First Session?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–4k
from 89 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid First Session and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including First Session's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–4.5M
best case 8.5M (DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin)
Games like First Session

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–4.5M copies

≈ $34.2M–$42.3M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin at ≈ 6.5M–10.5M copies, ≈ $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
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DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
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Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut
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Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
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What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$39.99
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