How much revenue did Nowhere Prophet make?

$233k–$625k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nowhere Prophet sell?

Q: How many copies did Nowhere Prophet sell?

34k to 55k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 34k–55k; $233k–$625k after Steam's cut $423k–$962k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nowhere Prophet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nowhere Prophet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 972k–5.3M

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Nowhere Prophet

A typical game among these

≈ 972k–5.3M copies

≈ $6.5M–$37.6M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Deckbuilding (6 of 8) and Card Battler (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Inscryption 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerCard Game
Griftlands 2021	Est. copies ≈ 359k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder