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How big is Microsoft Allegiance?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 6k–10k
from 187 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Microsoft Allegiance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Microsoft Allegiance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56.0M–99.7M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Microsoft Allegiance

A typical game among these

≈ 56.0M–99.7M copies

≈ $247.0M–$308.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 76k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$83–$218 after Steam's cut $150–$336 before Steam's cut
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1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionFuturistic
Disinfection
2022
Est. copies
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
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Sci-fiHorror
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
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Very Positive
FPSPvP
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
AlterVerse
2020
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
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Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCo-op

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