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How many copies did Mari and the Black Tower sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 585–950
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mari and the Black Tower and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mari and the Black Tower's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–174k
best case 1.1M (LISA: The Painful)
Games like Mari and the Black Tower

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–174k copies

≈ $223k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: LISA: The Painful at ≈ 851k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 226 reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (5 of 8) and RPGMaker (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark Humor + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rise of the Third Power
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut
$19.99
601 reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
LISA: The Painful
2014
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dark HumorRPG
LiEat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 195k–317k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $292k–$664k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
巅峰骑士团
2019
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
598 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGLovecraftian
Jesus Christ RPG Trilogy
2016
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$183k–$492k after Steam's cut $333k–$757k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesRPG
再刷一把 PlayAgain
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$277k–$746k after Steam's cut $504k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$8.99
5k reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based CombatAdventure
RPG Maker MZ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGGame Development

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.